Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 50.4%). Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Lowry 50.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 86.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 59.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 57.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 69.1%
69.1%
30.9%
Henrique
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Henrique
Lowry
Last 10: Henrique 9-1 Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
7
1
Henrique
Lowry
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
2
Henrique
Lowry
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
52.7% (893)
-0.8%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
52.8% (72)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
40.0% (215)
+2.7%
On power play, Henrique has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lowry
Home
53.1% (339)
52.4% (597)
Away
49.1% (330)
48.4% (583)
By Period
Henrique
Lowry
P1
48.5%
48.5%
P2
48.6%
52.2%
P3
54.2%
50.5%
OT
70.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 03:51 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 13:13 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 10:59 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |