Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lowry shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Lowry 52.7% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 72.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 80.6%
Neutral zone
Lowry 66.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Henrique
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Henrique
Lowry
Last 5: Henrique 2-3 Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Lowry
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
0
2
Henrique
Lowry
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
0
1
Henrique
Lowry
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
55.8% (796)
-1.4%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
54.7% (53)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
42.3% (215)
+3.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Henrique is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Henrique shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lowry
Home
55.3% (237)
53.4% (515)
Away
55.8% (260)
52.6% (549)
By Period
Henrique
Lowry
P1
53.5%
54.2%
P2
64.8%
54.4%
P3
47.3%
50.8%
OT
58.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
54.7%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 17:43 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 1 | 16:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 1 | 16:46 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 13, 2021 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |