Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Lowry 50.8% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 70.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 56.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 53.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Henrique
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Henrique
Lowry
Last 6: Henrique 1-5 Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
0
3
Henrique
Lowry
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
2
Henrique
Lowry
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (917)
51.4% (936)
-3.7%
Power Play
54.4% (149)
54.1% (85)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (148)
47.8% (274)
-2.5%
On even strength, Lowry has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Henrique is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Henrique shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lowry
Home
49.9% (567)
52.9% (680)
Away
46.7% (647)
48.5% (615)
By Period
Henrique
Lowry
P1
49.7%
51.5%
P2
45.3%
51.5%
P3
50.6%
49.3%
OT
31.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2017 | OT | 04:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 3 | 03:35 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2016 | 1 | 00:40 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |