Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Lowry 55.1% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 68.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 66.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 63.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 66.7%
66.7%
33.3%
Henrique
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Henrique
Lowry
Last 7: Henrique 2-5 Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Lowry
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
0
3
Henrique
Lowry
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
0
1
Henrique
Lowry
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (801)
59.0% (527)
-11.2%
Power Play
58.1% (124)
44.2% (43)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (130)
44.6% (101)
-3.8%
On power play, Henrique has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Henrique is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (681).
Henrique shoots left. Lowry is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lowry
Home
50.0% (506)
57.9% (330)
Away
46.4% (549)
54.0% (341)
By Period
Henrique
Lowry
P1
47.6%
55.8%
P2
50.1%
55.8%
P3
47.9%
56.1%
OT
23.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
62.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 11:49 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 2 | 03:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 23, 2018 | 2 | 00:45 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 3 | 01:40 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2017 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |