Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 52.5% vs Lowry 57.0% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 80.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 53.2%
Neutral zone
Henrique 63.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Henrique
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Henrique
Lowry
Last 5: Henrique 1-4 Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Lowry
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
0
4
Henrique
Lowry
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (818)
58.6% (843)
-5.7%
Power Play
49.7% (163)
65.0% (20)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (101)
53.8% (253)
+1.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Henrique is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Henrique shoots left. Lowry is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lowry
Home
55.3% (571)
61.0% (602)
Away
49.8% (512)
53.7% (514)
By Period
Henrique
Lowry
P1
53.3%
57.3%
P2
52.4%
58.1%
P3
52.4%
57.4%
OT
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
61.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.7%
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2019 | 3 | 16:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 20, 2019 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 2, 2019 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |