Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Matthews 53.9% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 72.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 69.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 69.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Henrique
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Henrique
Matthews
Last 5: Henrique 1-4 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
3
Henrique
Matthews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Matthews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
1
Henrique
Matthews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (801)
54.5% (613)
-6.7%
Power Play
58.1% (124)
52.9% (68)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (130)
71.4% (7)
-30.6%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Henrique is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (681).
Henrique shoots left. Matthews is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Henrique
Matthews
Home
50.0% (506)
59.8% (351)
Away
46.4% (549)
49.0% (337)
By Period
Henrique
Matthews
P1
47.6%
58.0%
P2
50.1%
49.6%
P3
47.9%
55.4%
OT
23.5%
83.3%
Final 5 min
45.4%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2018 | 3 | 13:28 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 5, 2018 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 11, 2017 | 2 | 14:44 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |