Adam Henrique vs Auston Matthews
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Matthews 53.9% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 34-28 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 75.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 51.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 61.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Henrique
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
28
(62 meetings)
34
28
Henrique
Matthews
Last 10: Henrique 4-6 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
9
11
Henrique
Matthews
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
12
8
Henrique
Matthews
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
13
9
Henrique
Matthews
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
54.0% (9,298)
-3.2%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
55.5% (530)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
49.8% (482)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Home / Away
Henrique
Matthews
Home
52.5% (6,418)
56.3% (5,065)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
51.5% (5,245)
By Period
Henrique
Matthews
P1
50.6%
55.5%
P2
51.4%
53.3%
P3
50.2%
52.8%
OT
40.6%
56.6%
Final 5 min
50.4%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:47 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:49 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 2 | 03:34 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 1 | 11:54 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |