Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Matthews 52.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 67.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 50.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 61.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Henrique
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Henrique
Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Matthews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
52.7% (1,015)
-0.8%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
34.6% (26)
+23.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
75.0% (8)
-32.3%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +32.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Henrique
Matthews
Home
53.1% (339)
54.8% (515)
Away
49.1% (330)
50.2% (534)
By Period
Henrique
Matthews
P1
48.5%
54.4%
P2
48.6%
50.4%
P3
54.2%
51.8%
OT
70.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |