Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.5% vs 56.2%). Henrique wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Matthews 55.8% (-0.7%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 51.1%
Defensive zone
Matthews 52.6%
Neutral zone
Matthews 54.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Henrique
Matthews
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
56.3% (1,167)
-1.9%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
57.5% (40)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
50.0% (22)
-3.8%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Henrique is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Henrique shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Home / Away
Henrique
Matthews
Home
55.3% (237)
60.7% (572)
Away
55.8% (260)
52.4% (657)
By Period
Henrique
Matthews
P1
53.5%
60.3%
P2
64.8%
55.6%
P3
47.3%
53.3%
OT
58.3%
45.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%