Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 55.0%). Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Henrique wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Matthews 54.5% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 59.0%
Defensive zone
Matthews 54.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 55.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Henrique
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
Henrique
Matthews
Last 10: Henrique 7-3 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
2
Henrique
Matthews
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Henrique
Matthews
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
1
Henrique
Matthews
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (740)
55.1% (856)
-1.6%
Power Play
65.9% (132)
54.3% (46)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
50.0% (18)
+0.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Henrique is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Henrique shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Home / Away
Henrique
Matthews
Home
57.4% (467)
57.0% (440)
Away
52.7% (463)
53.1% (480)
By Period
Henrique
Matthews
P1
55.4%
54.0%
P2
56.7%
55.1%
P3
54.0%
56.4%
OT
22.2%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.1%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2020 | 3 | 07:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 11:54 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 11:33 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 17:11 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 14:23 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 10:13 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 06:49 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 03:17 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 6, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 7, 2020 | OT | 00:52 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 15:56 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 1 | 09:39 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |