Adam Henrique vs Connor McDavid
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs McDavid 47.8% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 33-24 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 65.6%
Defensive zone
McDavid 57.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 62.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Henrique
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
33
(57 meetings)
24
33
Henrique
McDavid
Last 10: Henrique 4-6 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
5
9
Henrique
McDavid
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
6
12
Henrique
McDavid
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
13
12
Henrique
McDavid
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
50.8% (9,527)
47.7% (8,358)
+3.1%
Power Play
54.5% (1,762)
52.0% (371)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,822)
43.4% (279)
+2.8%
On even strength, Henrique has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Henrique shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,903).
Home / Away
Henrique
McDavid
Home
52.5% (6,418)
49.3% (4,570)
Away
48.8% (6,716)
46.1% (4,438)
By Period
Henrique
McDavid
P1
50.6%
46.5%
P2
51.4%
48.7%
P3
50.2%
48.3%
OT
40.6%
40.9%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 3 | 17:07 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 03:19 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 14:48 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 08:30 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:33 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 03:23 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |