Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs McDavid 53.4% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 59.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 58.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 57.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Henrique
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Henrique
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Henrique
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Henrique
McDavid
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
54.3% (1,002)
+0.1%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
44.8% (29)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
33.3% (15)
+12.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Henrique is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Henrique shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Henrique
McDavid
Home
55.3% (237)
53.6% (507)
Away
55.8% (260)
53.8% (539)
By Period
Henrique
McDavid
P1
53.5%
52.6%
P2
64.8%
54.1%
P3
47.3%
54.9%
OT
58.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 09:36 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |