Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs McDavid 47.9% (+7.9%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 73.8%
Defensive zone
Henrique 68.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 52.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Henrique
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
47.7% (715)
+9.8%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
51.9% (52)
+21.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
22.2% (9)
+23.3%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. McDavid is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Henrique
McDavid
Home
56.4% (518)
47.3% (387)
Away
54.9% (492)
48.1% (389)
By Period
Henrique
McDavid
P1
56.0%
47.6%
P2
55.2%
50.0%
P3
56.2%
45.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%