Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs McDavid 47.9% (+6.9%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 74.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 74.7%
Neutral zone
McDavid 53.1%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Henrique
McDavid
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
47.5% (650)
+8.6%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
48.6% (72)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
46.5% (43)
+4.3%
On even strength, Henrique has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Henrique is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Henrique shoots left. McDavid is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Home / Away
Henrique
McDavid
Home
53.5% (215)
50.2% (400)
Away
55.2% (306)
44.7% (365)
By Period
Henrique
McDavid
P1
57.7%
47.5%
P2
53.8%
48.6%
P3
51.6%
46.7%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.6%