Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 52.5% vs McDavid 47.0% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 65.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 67.4%
Neutral zone
McDavid 73.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 69.6%
30.4%
69.6%
Henrique
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Henrique
McDavid
Last 10: Henrique 3-7 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
2
Henrique
McDavid
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
4
Henrique
McDavid
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
McDavid
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (818)
46.9% (862)
+6.0%
Power Play
49.7% (163)
42.1% (38)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (101)
44.4% (18)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Henrique is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Henrique shoots left. McDavid is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Henrique
McDavid
Home
55.3% (571)
47.9% (478)
Away
49.8% (512)
45.2% (440)
By Period
Henrique
McDavid
P1
53.3%
45.9%
P2
52.4%
47.7%
P3
52.4%
46.6%
OT
53.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.7%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 13:09 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 15:13 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 03:06 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 14:51 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 6, 2019 | 1 | 12:49 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 12:22 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |