Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.5% vs 55.9%). Henrique wins 57.8% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Ryan 54.9% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 82.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 68.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 56.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Henrique
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Henrique
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
60.2% (387)
-5.8%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
28.6% (7)
+30.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
43.2% (118)
+3.0%
On power play, Henrique has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Henrique is 57.8% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Henrique shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Henrique
Ryan
Home
55.3% (237)
56.7% (254)
Away
55.8% (260)
55.0% (258)
By Period
Henrique
Ryan
P1
53.5%
56.9%
P2
64.8%
51.7%
P3
47.3%
59.2%
OT
58.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |