Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Ryan 50.0% (+1.1%)
Offensive zone
Henrique 69.3%
Defensive zone
Ryan 70.3%
Neutral zone
Henrique 50.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Henrique
Ryan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
50.9% (344)
+1.0%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
75.0% (4)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
45.3% (86)
-2.6%
On power play, Ryan has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Henrique is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Henrique shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Henrique
Ryan
Home
53.1% (339)
53.7% (214)
Away
49.1% (330)
46.4% (220)
By Period
Henrique
Ryan
P1
48.5%
45.0%
P2
48.6%
50.0%
P3
54.2%
54.6%
Final 5 min
51.9%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%