Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Ryan 57.4% (-4.8%)
Offensive zone
Ryan 50.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 51.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 55.3%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Henrique
Ryan
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
61.4% (220)
-3.9%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
100.0% (1)
-26.8%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
51.7% (29)
-6.2%
On power play, Ryan has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Henrique is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (285).
Henrique shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Henrique
Ryan
Home
56.4% (518)
64.2% (137)
Away
54.9% (492)
55.8% (113)
By Period
Henrique
Ryan
P1
56.0%
58.9%
P2
55.2%
62.8%
P3
56.2%
59.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%