Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.1%). Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.3% vs Backlund 48.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 69.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 63.8%
Neutral zone
Henrique 52.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Henrique
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Henrique
Backlund
Last 7: Henrique 2-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Backlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
3
Henrique
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Henrique
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (917)
47.3% (1,070)
+0.4%
Power Play
54.4% (149)
62.1% (140)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (148)
43.9% (269)
+1.4%
On power play, Backlund has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Henrique is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Henrique shoots left. Backlund is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (910).
Home / Away
Henrique
Backlund
Home
49.9% (567)
49.1% (768)
Away
46.7% (647)
47.0% (711)
By Period
Henrique
Backlund
P1
49.7%
46.8%
P2
45.3%
47.5%
P3
50.6%
49.3%
OT
31.8%
59.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2017 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 3 | 03:01 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 12:58 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 07:07 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |