Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Backlund 48.5% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 65.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 53.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 64.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Henrique
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Henrique
Backlund
Last 9: Henrique 5-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
2
Henrique
Backlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Henrique
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
50.4% (1,032)
+7.1%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
52.3% (107)
+20.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
40.6% (313)
+4.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Henrique
Backlund
Home
56.4% (518)
48.7% (749)
Away
54.9% (492)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Henrique
Backlund
P1
56.0%
50.4%
P2
55.2%
50.1%
P3
56.2%
45.8%
OT
0.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
51.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 3 | 12:03 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 16:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 13, 2024 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |