Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Backlund 50.3% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 72.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 50.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 64.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 66.5%
66.5%
33.5%
Henrique
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Henrique
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
51.0% (1,205)
+4.4%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
59.3% (108)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
42.3% (234)
+5.2%
On power play, Backlund has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Henrique
Backlund
Home
56.4% (553)
51.2% (782)
Away
50.0% (530)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Henrique
Backlund
P1
51.7%
51.5%
P2
55.5%
49.8%
P3
52.5%
49.9%
OT
66.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
55.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 14:13 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 06:18 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |