Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Backlund 50.5% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 83.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 54.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 61.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
Henrique
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Henrique
Backlund
Last 8: Henrique 6-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
0
Henrique
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Henrique
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
51.5% (983)
+2.9%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
49.4% (87)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
45.3% (159)
+0.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Henrique is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Henrique shoots left. Backlund is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (742).
Home / Away
Henrique
Backlund
Home
55.3% (237)
51.6% (653)
Away
55.8% (260)
49.3% (576)
By Period
Henrique
Backlund
P1
53.5%
50.0%
P2
64.8%
49.8%
P3
47.3%
51.7%
OT
58.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 16:14 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 09:50 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 2 | 19:24 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |