Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 50.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Backlund 50.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 55.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 51.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 52.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Henrique
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Henrique
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
51.9% (1,083)
+0.0%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
51.7% (120)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
44.3% (183)
-1.6%
On power play, Henrique has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Henrique
Backlund
Home
53.1% (339)
51.9% (673)
Away
49.1% (330)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Henrique
Backlund
P1
48.5%
51.4%
P2
48.6%
50.5%
P3
54.2%
51.4%
OT
70.6%
35.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 11:49 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |