Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 52.5% vs Backlund 49.6% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 67.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 59.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 66.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 67.3%
67.3%
32.7%
Henrique
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Henrique
Backlund
Last 6: Henrique 4-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
1
Henrique
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (818)
49.2% (884)
+3.7%
Power Play
49.7% (163)
44.3% (61)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (101)
57.0% (86)
-1.6%
On power play, Henrique has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Henrique is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (731).
Henrique shoots left. Backlund is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Henrique
Backlund
Home
55.3% (571)
49.3% (531)
Away
49.8% (512)
49.8% (500)
By Period
Henrique
Backlund
P1
53.3%
47.1%
P2
52.4%
53.7%
P3
52.4%
47.8%
OT
53.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2019 | 3 | 04:30 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 17:04 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 10:07 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 03:52 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 22, 2019 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 7, 2018 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |