Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Sturm 52.5% (+2.5%)
Offensive zone
Henrique 78.1%
Defensive zone
Sturm 77.9%
Neutral zone
Sturm 56.2%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Henrique
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
54.0% (480)
+0.4%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
28.6% (7)
+30.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
50.0% (102)
-3.8%
On power play, Henrique has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Henrique is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Henrique shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Henrique
Sturm
Home
55.3% (237)
54.0% (287)
Away
55.8% (260)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Henrique
Sturm
P1
53.5%
53.5%
P2
64.8%
51.0%
P3
47.3%
55.1%
OT
58.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%