Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.0% vs Cates 40.4% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 58.9%
Defensive zone
Cates 66.1%
Neutral zone
Cates 69.2%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Henrique
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Henrique
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Henrique
Cates
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
0
1
Henrique
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (270)
40.4% (841)
+11.5%
Power Play
58.5% (200)
42.4% (66)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (199)
32.7% (147)
+10.0%
On power play, Henrique has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Henrique is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Henrique shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Henrique
Cates
Home
53.1% (339)
38.2% (566)
Away
49.1% (330)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Henrique
Cates
P1
48.5%
40.5%
P2
48.6%
42.4%
P3
54.2%
35.3%
OT
70.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.9%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
51.1%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2023 | 2 | 11:08 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Jan 2, 2023 | 1 | 13:15 | Defensive | Noah Cates |