Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Cates 45.1% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 72.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 72.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 69.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Henrique
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Henrique
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
46.7% (912)
+10.8%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
33.9% (56)
+39.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
35.0% (137)
+10.5%
On power play, Henrique has a +39.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Henrique
Cates
Home
56.4% (518)
46.1% (521)
Away
54.9% (492)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Henrique
Cates
P1
56.0%
48.0%
P2
55.2%
42.3%
P3
56.2%
44.3%
OT
0.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |