Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cates on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Cates 45.8% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cates 53.1%
Defensive zone
Cates 52.2%
Neutral zone
Cates 54.7%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Henrique
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Henrique
Cates
Last 5: Henrique 2-3 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Cates
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
1
2
Henrique
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
44.3% (271)
+11.1%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
77.8% (18)
-27.2%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
31.7% (41)
+15.8%
On power play, Cates has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Cates is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Henrique
Cates
Home
56.4% (553)
52.0% (148)
Away
50.0% (530)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Henrique
Cates
P1
51.7%
42.7%
P2
55.5%
42.9%
P3
52.5%
48.5%
Final 5 min
55.1%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 3 | 01:39 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 16:46 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Noah Cates |