Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Lowry shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.7% vs Lowry 47.5% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 56.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 77.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 70.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Henrique
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Henrique
Lowry
Last 6: Henrique 4-2 Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Lowry
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Lowry
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (358)
47.0% (783)
+6.4%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
57.1% (28)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (94)
45.0% (40)
-0.3%
On even strength, Henrique has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Henrique is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Henrique shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (575).
Home / Away
Henrique
Lowry
Home
53.9% (245)
49.2% (425)
Away
50.4% (274)
45.3% (426)
By Period
Henrique
Lowry
P1
52.8%
53.6%
P2
56.5%
39.8%
P3
46.1%
48.5%
OT
58.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.0%
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 12:59 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 12:45 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 04:46 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |