Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 59.3% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 57.0% vs Matthews 51.9% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 66.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 84.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 70.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Lowry
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Lowry
Matthews
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Matthews
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Matthews
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Matthews
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (843)
52.4% (892)
+6.2%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
45.5% (11)
+19.5%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (253)
37.5% (8)
+16.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Lowry is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Lowry shoots left. Matthews is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Home / Away
Lowry
Matthews
Home
61.0% (602)
54.3% (420)
Away
53.7% (514)
50.3% (491)
By Period
Lowry
Matthews
P1
57.3%
54.2%
P2
58.1%
54.3%
P3
57.4%
47.8%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
61.4%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.6%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 01:35 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 14:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 1 | 09:38 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 2 | 05:45 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 24, 2018 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |