Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Matthews 55.8% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 52.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 88.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 72.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Lowry
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Lowry
Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
2
Lowry
Matthews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
1
Lowry
Matthews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
56.3% (1,167)
-0.5%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
57.5% (40)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
50.0% (22)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Home / Away
Lowry
Matthews
Home
53.4% (515)
60.7% (572)
Away
52.6% (549)
52.4% (657)
By Period
Lowry
Matthews
P1
54.2%
60.3%
P2
54.4%
55.6%
P3
50.8%
53.3%
OT
37.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 13:22 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |