Adam Lowry vs Auston Matthews

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Auston Matthews holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Lowry 49.1% vs Matthews 53.2% (-4.4%)
H2H factor Lowry leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone Matthews 87.5%
Defensive zone Lowry 62.8%
Neutral zone Matthews 65.4%
Result Auston Matthews favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Lowry Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
8 - 6 (14 meetings)
8
6
Lowry Matthews
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Matthews

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry Matthews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
2
Lowry Matthews
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
2
Lowry Matthews
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Lowry
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
53.4% (1,169)
-4.1%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
65.8% (76)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
41.9% (74)
+0.7%
On even strength, Matthews has a +4.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Home / Away
Lowry
Matthews
Home
50.2% (671)
56.5% (703)
Away
47.8% (709)
50.0% (616)
By Period
Lowry
Matthews
P1
48.4%
52.1%
P2
50.1%
54.0%
P3
47.8%
54.0%
OT
66.7%
57.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
54.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%
54.5%
49.0%
Matthews
70.0%
64.0%
53.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 27, 2024 3 14:07 Offensive Adam Lowry
Jan 27, 2024 3 00:00 Neutral Auston Matthews
Jan 27, 2024 2 07:54 Defensive Adam Lowry
Jan 27, 2024 2 06:24 Offensive Adam Lowry
Jan 27, 2024 2 06:07 Defensive Adam Lowry
Jan 27, 2024 1 15:27 Defensive Auston Matthews
Jan 27, 2024 1 12:50 Defensive Adam Lowry
Jan 27, 2024 1 10:04 Offensive Auston Matthews
Jan 27, 2024 1 09:43 Defensive Auston Matthews
Jan 27, 2024 1 00:00 Neutral Auston Matthews
Jan 24, 2024 OT 03:28 Defensive Adam Lowry
Jan 24, 2024 2 18:57 Neutral Adam Lowry
Jan 24, 2024 1 09:45 Offensive Auston Matthews
Jan 24, 2024 1 03:24 Defensive Adam Lowry