Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Matthews 51.7% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 57.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 84.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 67.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Lowry
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
18
(28 meetings)
10
18
Lowry
Matthews
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
9
Lowry
Matthews
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
1
Lowry
Matthews
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
8
Lowry
Matthews
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (523)
52.2% (795)
-0.8%
Power Play
56.7% (30)
52.5% (40)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (162)
43.8% (32)
+2.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Lowry is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Lowry shoots left. Matthews is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Lowry
Matthews
Home
50.3% (354)
53.5% (454)
Away
50.7% (361)
50.1% (413)
By Period
Lowry
Matthews
P1
48.5%
54.8%
P2
52.2%
52.2%
P3
50.9%
48.1%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.0%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.5%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2021 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 05:46 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 15:37 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 3 | 00:51 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 12:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 06:41 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 05:16 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 2 | 11:25 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 16:36 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2021 | 1 | 10:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |