Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Nelson 45.8% (+3.8%)
Offensive zone
Nelson 72.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 75.8%
Neutral zone
Nelson 50.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Lowry
Nelson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
46.1% (735)
+3.2%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
34.5% (29)
+33.2%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
30.4% (23)
+12.2%
On power play, Lowry has a +33.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Nelson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Lowry
Nelson
Home
50.2% (671)
48.7% (419)
Away
47.8% (709)
41.3% (368)
By Period
Lowry
Nelson
P1
48.4%
44.6%
P2
50.1%
47.3%
P3
47.8%
43.0%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
45.2%