Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs McDavid 49.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 78.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 73.9%
Neutral zone
Lowry 58.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Lowry
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Lowry
McDavid
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
5
Lowry
McDavid
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
McDavid
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
5
Lowry
McDavid
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (523)
49.1% (621)
+2.3%
Power Play
56.7% (30)
78.6% (14)
-21.9%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (162)
0.0% (3)
+46.3%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +46.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Lowry is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Lowry shoots left. McDavid is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Lowry
McDavid
Home
50.3% (354)
56.1% (330)
Away
50.7% (361)
42.5% (308)
By Period
Lowry
McDavid
P1
48.5%
49.2%
P2
52.2%
47.4%
P3
50.9%
53.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.5%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 11:37 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 03:07 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 17:10 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 07:39 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 17:05 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |