Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 53.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs McDavid 53.4% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 71.3%
Defensive zone
Lowry 74.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 55.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Lowry
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lowry
McDavid
Last 7: Lowry 3-4 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
1
Lowry
McDavid
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
McDavid
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
McDavid
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
54.3% (1,002)
+1.5%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
44.8% (29)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
33.3% (15)
+9.0%
On power play, Lowry has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Lowry
McDavid
Home
53.4% (515)
53.6% (507)
Away
52.6% (549)
53.8% (539)
By Period
Lowry
McDavid
P1
54.2%
52.6%
P2
54.4%
54.1%
P3
50.8%
54.9%
OT
37.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 14:38 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 11:28 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:01 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |