Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Vilardi shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Vilardi 47.9% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 79.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.9%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Lowry
Vilardi
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lowry
Vilardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
0
2
Lowry
Vilardi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Vilardi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Vilardi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Vilardi
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
44.4% (81)
+8.3%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
50.0% (32)
+2.8%
On even strength, Lowry has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vilardi shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Vilardi is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Lowry
Vilardi
Home
52.4% (597)
44.8% (58)
Away
48.4% (583)
47.3% (55)
By Period
Lowry
Vilardi
P1
48.5%
41.7%
P2
52.2%
55.6%
P3
50.5%
42.9%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 13:31 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 27, 2022 | 2 | 16:04 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |