Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Vilardi shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Vilardi 49.6% (+2.5%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 80.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 89.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Lowry
Vilardi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Vilardi
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
44.2% (113)
+9.5%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
64.1% (39)
-3.4%
On even strength, Lowry has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vilardi shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Vilardi is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Lowry
Vilardi
Home
53.0% (583)
38.5% (39)
Away
50.6% (605)
53.1% (113)
By Period
Lowry
Vilardi
P1
52.1%
52.6%
P2
51.8%
35.3%
P3
52.3%
61.4%
Final 5 min
53.9%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
49.3%