Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Vilardi shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Vilardi 46.9% (+10.3%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 77.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 87.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 51.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Lowry
Vilardi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Vilardi
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
42.0% (69)
+13.4%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
50.0% (24)
+33.3%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
0.0% (1)
+40.4%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +40.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vilardi shoots right. Lowry is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Lowry shoots left. Vilardi is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Lowry
Vilardi
Home
54.5% (402)
40.8% (49)
Away
53.3% (368)
46.7% (45)
By Period
Lowry
Vilardi
P1
52.4%
50.0%
P2
56.0%
37.1%
P3
54.2%
43.5%
Final 5 min
58.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
43.6%