Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Evans 51.7% (-1.6%)
Offensive zone
Evans 51.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 53.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Lowry
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
54.5% (483)
-1.8%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
58.3% (12)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
43.9% (155)
-3.9%
On power play, Evans has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Lowry
Evans
Home
52.4% (597)
49.4% (336)
Away
48.4% (583)
54.8% (314)
By Period
Lowry
Evans
P1
48.5%
55.8%
P2
52.2%
51.7%
P3
50.5%
48.2%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%