Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Evans 52.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 61.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 53.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Lowry
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lowry
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Lowry
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
54.4% (807)
-5.1%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
55.0% (20)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
46.1% (310)
-3.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Lowry
Evans
Home
50.2% (671)
53.7% (581)
Away
47.8% (709)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Lowry
Evans
P1
48.4%
54.6%
P2
50.1%
50.0%
P3
47.8%
52.3%
OT
66.7%
46.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2023 | OT | 04:08 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Jake Evans |