Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Evans 52.6% (-1.1%)
Offensive zone
Lowry 55.6%
Defensive zone
Evans 53.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Lowry
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
54.4% (824)
-0.7%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
66.7% (9)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
48.1% (289)
-5.4%
On power play, Evans has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lowry is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Lowry shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Home / Away
Lowry
Evans
Home
53.0% (583)
55.1% (541)
Away
50.6% (605)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Lowry
Evans
P1
52.1%
51.8%
P2
51.8%
53.3%
P3
52.3%
53.8%
OT
25.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
53.9%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.8%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%