Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.8% vs Duchene 61.5% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 85.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 77.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 81.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Lowry
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Lowry
Duchene
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
7
Lowry
Duchene
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
4
Lowry
Duchene
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
1
2
Lowry
Duchene
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (936)
62.2% (802)
-10.8%
Power Play
54.1% (85)
67.3% (153)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (274)
59.4% (143)
-11.6%
On power play, Duchene has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Lowry shoots left. Duchene is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Lowry
Duchene
Home
52.9% (680)
66.5% (555)
Away
48.5% (615)
58.6% (543)
By Period
Lowry
Duchene
P1
51.5%
63.2%
P2
51.5%
59.6%
P3
49.3%
65.0%
OT
60.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
65.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.8%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 05:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 13:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 11:44 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 01:39 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 17:02 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 18, 2016 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 08:48 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 2 | 08:29 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |