Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Duchene 52.8% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 83.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 85.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 85.5%
85.5%
14.5%
Lowry
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lowry
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Lowry
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
46.9% (162)
+8.9%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
73.2% (56)
-18.5%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
100.0% (2)
-57.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +57.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Lowry
Duchene
Home
53.4% (515)
58.4% (125)
Away
52.6% (549)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Lowry
Duchene
P1
54.2%
56.9%
P2
54.4%
52.5%
P3
50.8%
51.9%
OT
37.5%
80.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |