Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.4% vs Duchene 51.6% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 70.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 78.7%
Neutral zone
Lowry 64.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Lowry
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (675)
51.2% (324)
+4.2%
Power Play
83.3% (6)
60.4% (53)
+22.9%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (89)
16.7% (6)
+23.7%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Lowry shoots left. Duchene is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Home / Away
Lowry
Duchene
Home
54.5% (402)
51.6% (182)
Away
53.3% (368)
52.2% (201)
By Period
Lowry
Duchene
P1
52.4%
49.6%
P2
56.0%
56.2%
P3
54.2%
48.6%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
58.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |