Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 52.3%). Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Zibanejad 52.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 70.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 71.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 54.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Lowry
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Lowry
Zibanejad
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
5
Lowry
Zibanejad
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lowry
Zibanejad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
3
Lowry
Zibanejad
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
54.0% (955)
+1.8%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
55.6% (243)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
35.0% (140)
+7.3%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Zibanejad is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,033).
Home / Away
Lowry
Zibanejad
Home
53.4% (515)
55.2% (656)
Away
52.6% (549)
49.6% (682)
By Period
Lowry
Zibanejad
P1
54.2%
56.3%
P2
54.4%
50.0%
P3
50.8%
51.2%
OT
37.5%
52.6%
Final 5 min
54.2%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:47 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 14:19 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 19, 2022 | 1 | 11:58 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 09:41 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 09:32 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 03:19 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 03:12 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |