Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 30 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Zibanejad 49.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 56-48 in 104 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 75.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 68.9%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 54.3%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Lowry
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
48
-
56
(104 meetings)
48
56
Lowry
Zibanejad
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
9
21
Lowry
Zibanejad
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
20
14
Lowry
Zibanejad
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
19
21
Lowry
Zibanejad
40 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (9,130)
50.9% (11,719)
+1.9%
Power Play
57.1% (455)
52.2% (1,849)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (2,139)
41.5% (1,790)
+3.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (3,984).
Lowry shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (10,678).
Home / Away
Lowry
Zibanejad
Home
53.5% (5,893)
51.6% (7,566)
Away
49.6% (5,831)
48.3% (7,793)
By Period
Lowry
Zibanejad
P1
51.5%
50.4%
P2
51.8%
49.7%
P3
51.4%
49.8%
OT
46.3%
48.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 16:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 18:19 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 14:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:19 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |