Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.4% vs 49.5%). Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 66.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 62.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Lowry
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Lowry
Zibanejad
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
4
Lowry
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
3
Lowry
Zibanejad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
4
5
Lowry
Zibanejad
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
50.1% (1,051)
+2.6%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
58.3% (120)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
41.9% (227)
-1.9%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Lowry
Zibanejad
Home
52.4% (597)
49.0% (681)
Away
48.4% (583)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Lowry
Zibanejad
P1
48.5%
49.9%
P2
52.2%
47.6%
P3
50.5%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
48.3%
Final 5 min
49.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 13:14 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 3 | 02:32 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 03:28 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 19:12 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 13:59 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 3 | 18:23 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 16:06 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 12:31 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 18:26 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |