Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.3%). Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 65.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 70.1%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 53.2%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Lowry
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
8
(17 meetings)
9
8
Lowry
Zibanejad
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
0
Lowry
Zibanejad
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
5
7
Lowry
Zibanejad
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
50.9% (913)
-1.6%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
59.0% (39)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (251)
37.5% (160)
+5.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Lowry is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (412).
Lowry shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Lowry
Zibanejad
Home
50.2% (671)
51.1% (536)
Away
47.8% (709)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Lowry
Zibanejad
P1
48.4%
50.1%
P2
50.1%
47.3%
P3
47.8%
50.7%
OT
66.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
49.0%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 08:11 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 08:06 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 15:24 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 01:17 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 00:27 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |