Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rantanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Rantanen 47.1% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 83.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 81.0%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 52.7%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
Lowry
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lowry
Rantanen
Last 5: Lowry 2-3 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
3
Lowry
Rantanen
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Rantanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
46.3% (309)
+9.5%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
51.3% (39)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
16.7% (6)
+25.6%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Lowry is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Lowry shoots left. Rantanen is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Lowry
Rantanen
Home
53.4% (515)
51.8% (197)
Away
52.6% (549)
39.5% (157)
By Period
Lowry
Rantanen
P1
54.2%
47.2%
P2
54.4%
44.8%
P3
50.8%
46.9%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.0%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2022 | OT | 01:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 8, 2022 | OT | 00:45 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 3 | 00:17 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |